Wow, I usually don't venture out of my area of expertise, but...

My research in the stock market shows that nobody knows what is going on...

Stocks up as Bernanke says recession may end soon

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090224/ap_on_bi_st_ma_re/wall_street_81

Bernanke fears recession could extend to 2010

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20090224/bs_nm/us_usa_fed_bernanke_8